Components

Key variables

I

"WORLD CONTEXT"

1/Population (structure, migrations, weight of different categories (urban-rural,), etc.).

2/Urbanisation, rural migrations and rural exodus

3/Economic growth

4/ Price trends, notably those affecting agricultural products

5/ Income distribution and its effects on rural revenues

6/Energy (costs and sources)

7/ Climate

8/ International political relationships (cooperation, fragmentation, tensions, conflicts)

9/Rate of technical change

II

"INTERNATIONAL REGULATION"

1/Organisation of international trade (legal context for trade in agricultural products)

2/International agreements on climate regulation (coordination, importance of the problem)

3/ International agreements on biodiversity

4/Governance and the management of food safety

5/ Governance and the management of marine resources

6/Transfers of assets from North to South

III

"PRODUCTION DYNAMICS" 

1/ Production areas (including aquatic): irrigated, non-irrigated, availability, localisation (suburban), productive quality of farmland, land productivity, competition between different uses, investment in land.

2/ Investment in agricultural and aquatic production (at a farm level)

3/ Investment in infrastructure and public goods

4/ Social forms of production

5/ Production and processing technologies

IV

"DYNAMICS OF BIOMASS CONSUMPTION"

1/Consumption of energy from biomass

2/ Industrial consumption of biomass (green chemistry)

3/ Consumption practices and diet and nutrition

4/Awareness of society to health issues

V

"STRATEGIES APPLIED BY MAJOR ACTORS"

1/ Government strategies

1.1/Agricultural, fishery and aquacultural policies (price support, export grants, support via multifunctionality, goals for food self-sufficiency, agricultural reform)

1.2/Health and nutritional policies

1.3/ Energy policies (including goals for self-sufficiency)

1.4/ Environmental policies

2/ Strategy of private-sector actors

2.1/ Role of agricultural organisations

2.2/ Strategy of international agrifood companies

2.3/ Role of NGOs

VI

"Knowledge and technologies in the fields of agriculture, diet and nutrition"

1/ Investment in both public and private sector R&D

2/ Objectives of innovations

3/ Status of living organisms under intellectual property rights and rights of users

4/ Orientations of agricultural research

5/ Initial and continuing training for farmers

6/ Sites and actors for innovation and its dissemination

VII

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

1/Conservation of biodiversity

2/Greenhouse gas emissions (and atmospheric pollution)

3/Soil fertility

4/Water (availability and quality)

5/ Social equity:

5.1. Satisfaction of essential needs: food, employment, health, education.

5.2. Quality of life: living standards, culture, social relations.